[Go to content]
[Go to navigation]

Intelligence Primer

Most CEOs are drowning in the amount of information they are receiving each and every day, an avalanche of data the main achievement of which is to generate a guilty consciences. What they desperately need, however, is knowledge and when it comes to volume less is definitely more. This paper seeks to provide a practical introduction to the process through which information becomes knowledge. It covers the five (5) central phases of the intelligence process ranging from how to formulate a collection requirement to production and presentation.

Sources:

Gary Harris’, Evaluating Intelligence Evidence, pp.34-38, Defence Intelligence College, 1989, USA.
Jack Davis, Intelligence Changes In Analytic Tradecraft In CIA’s Directorate Of Intelligence, p.6, CIA, 1995.
Robert M. Grant, Contemporary Strategy Analysis, pp. 31, Blackwell Publishers Ltd., 2001, UK.
David Hume, An Enquiry Concerning Human Understanding, Oxford University Press, 1975, UK.
It should be pointed out, however, that Bertrand Russell indeed defended induction as a method for science (but only for measuring probability!) based on his belief in the uniformity of nature.
The chicken story is loosely adapted from Bertrand Russell’s, The Problems of Philosophy, Oxford University Press, 1959, UK
The definition of a falsifiable statement is that it “…must be capable of conflicting with possible, or conceivable, observations.” Carl Popper, Conjectures and Refutations, pp. 38, Routledge & Kegan Paul, 1963, UK.
Lisa Krizan’s Occasional Paper Number Six – Intelligence Essentials For Everyone, Joint Military Intelligence College Washington DC, 1999.
Excerpt from Douglas Dearth’s, The Politics of Intelligence, JMITC, 1995, USA.

 

BIBLIOGRAPHY:

  • Brei, William S., Getting Intelligence Right: The Power of Logical Procedure, JMIC, 1996, USA.
  • Davis Jack, Intelligence Changes In Analytic Tradecraft In CIA’s Directorate Of Intelligence, CIA, 1995.
  • Dearth, Douglas, National Intelligence – Profession and Process, JMITC, 1995, USA.
  • Dearth, Douglas, The Politics of Intelligence, JMITC, 1995, USA
  • Grant, Robert M., , Contemporary Strategy Analysis, Blackwell Publishers Ltd., 2001, UK.
  • Harris, Gary, Evaluating Intelligence Evidence, Defence Intelligence College, 1989, USA.
  • Hulnick, Arthur S., Producer-Policy Consumer Linkage – A Theoretical Approach, published in Intelligence and National Security, 1, No. 2, May 1986.
  • Hume, David, An Enquiry Concerning Human Understanding, Oxford University Press, 1975, UK.
  • Kahaner, Larry, Competitive Intelligence, Simon & Schuster, 1996, USA.
  • Krizan, Lisa, Occasional Paper Number Six – Intelligence Essentials For Everyone, Joint Military Intelligence College Washington DC, 1999.
  • Major, James S., The Style Guide: Research and Writing at the Joint Military Intelligence College, JMIC, 1994, USA.
  • Matham, R. H., The Intelligence Analyst’s Notebook, JMITC, 1995, USA.
  • McGonagle, John J. & Vella, Carolyn M., Outsmarting the Competition, Sourcebooks, 1990, USA.
  • Minto, Barbara, The Minto Pyramid Principle, Minto International, 1996, USA.
  • Popper, Carl,  Conjectures and Refutations, Routledge & Kegan Paul, 1963, UK.
  • Russell, Bertrand, The Problems of Philosophy, Oxford University Press, 1959, UK.
  • Vine, David, Internet Business Intelligence, Cyber-Age Books, 2000, USA.